to add to tech note:
By Squwii trader: When we got right now is a MAJOR bullish 30min and 60min divergence on the MACD ,, we see that the SPX price is making a lower low - but the MACD is making a higher high , which is bullish - not bearish. In other words, he means when we make lower low but MACD is in higher low, this is bullish.
By Squwii trader: HE used STO (14,5,0), MACHD (8,17,9) and MACD (8,17,9). For MACHD, negative looks like bearish for the mkt. (my guess, not confirmed by him yet)
To add to skew/ hedge:
By Mark optionpit. How to tell if people is buying put insurance (cant just look at Implied because that is relative term)? Check the ATM put IV, then compare it to 10 delta OTM put. (eg, ATM IV is 14, OTM 10 delta put is 21.2, that gives 144%, that means ppl are buying put)
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Otionvol mentioned that earning month skew usually bend to parbolic. There may be oppturnity if the earning mont ( a few month before) was normal and can be bend to to parbolic
ReplyDeleteMEANT THE OTM EARNING MONTH WILL TURN FROM NORMAL SKEW TO PABABLIC. SO THERE MAYBE OPPTURNTITY
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